Wednesday, January 28, 2015

Outstanding Gains in Camas WA Real Estate for 2014

Homes For Sale in Camas WA turn in Strong Gains for 2014

In an about-face from the Fourth Quarter 2013's major price dip, the Fall of 2014 average sales price fell slightly; finishing the year with excellent improvement in Average Sales price and level of Distressed Properties.  Here are some of the highlights for 2014:

  • REO/Bank Owned property sales were 30 units (6.71% of total); down from 40 (8.58%) in 2013. 
     
  • Short Sale /Pre-Foreclosure property sales were 19 units (4.25% of total); down from 49 (10.52%) in 2013.
  • Prices Indexes Were Strongly Up, with the 3-Month Moving Average Up 27.6% (Dec13 vs. Dec14); while the 12-Month Moving Average went up 10.8%
     
  • The Inventory level for Resale Homes is at 2.4 Months - going still farther into the range of a Strong "Seller's Market."
     
  • Approximately 447 Resale Homes closed in 2014, compared to 466 Sold in 2013; a decrease of 19 homes or, -4.25%.

The Big news is absolutely the ever shrinking inventory of Resale Homes in the Camas real estate market area.  A "Normal" market is 6 months of Inventory (amount of homes available for sale in the market) -- when the home inventory is at 2.4 months it leaves fewer choices for Home Shoppers, and applies upward pressure on prices. 

 Moreover, with the inventory level at this low level, it will also cause many home shoppers to expand their geographic search area; and in this case, to include nearby areas such as Vancouver WA Homes For Sale and Washougal Homes For Sale.

Now for charts from RMLS:

Charts of Camas WA Resale Home Sales Trends in 2014 Resale Home Sales Camas WA Inventory & Days on Market - 2014

This collection of 3 charts from RMLS illustrate the dynamics for Units Sold, List and Sales Price Averages; and Cumulative Days on Market (CDOM).  The top chart shows a surge of new listings in the Spring through Summer, then tapering down for the rest of the year; with a very significant number of closings taking place in October (an amount we'd more typically expect in the summer months.).  The next chart is showing that the new listings are pulling up the Average Listed price, with the buyer's in there unable to negotiate down.  The final graph shows the relatively short time to sell a Camas home early in the year, with the market time appearing more "normal" in the final four months.


Now for John's Camas Charts! - The first custom chart represents the number of Resale Homes Sold (Excludes New Construction), with the short term trend line (in Red) calculated as a 3-Month Moving Average; and the long term trend line (Blue line) equaling the 12-month Moving Average.

Camas Resale Home Sales 2014 - Units Sold Resale Home Sales  Camas WA - Units Sold Trend 2014

This chart shows slight change in unit-home sales for Camas, while the Vancouver WA home sales trend is up for the year.

Moving to the current results for Average Home Prices (chart below), the short term trend-line shows that Camas jumped up strongly starting early in the year; and with low inventory the buyers have had no choice but to push prices higher.  The long-term trend line also shows a upward price-change direction.

Camas Resale Home Sales 2014 - Average Sales Price Trends Resale Home Sales Camas WA - Average Sales Price Trend 2014



Please contact me if you have any questions with this report!

PS - Please visit my website for the Camas Home and Real Estate page, where we have 16 neighborhood searches already set up in addition to 7 category searches, with property listings from the entire RMLS.

PPS - I believe Camas home sales will be strong in 2015.  Don't delay with your Home Selling or Buying Plans - Call Us Soon!


The Camas Real Estate charts in this report (prepared by Camas WA Realtor® John Slocum, our resident statistician) are based on home sales recorded in the Camas  MLS system (RMLS), excluding sales of mobile home; and shows the purchase activity since 2009; charting the 3 month Moving average number of sales, and the 12 month Moving average.  This "smoothing" of the trend-data helps illustrate the short-term and longer term trends in the Camas real estate market.

Disclaimer: as with any real estate statistics, we do our best to provide the best representation at the time the data was acquired.  We deem the data and reports reliable but not guaranteed.

Friday, January 23, 2015

Active Real Estate Listings Down in Vancovuer WA

In putting a finer-focus on the Real Estate results for the market in Vancouver, one of the charts from the RMLS Market Action Report for December stands out -- namely, the total number of Available Residential Listings dropped significantly when compared to the same month in previous years!


To solve this minor mystery we only had to look a little further down in the report to see that Pending Home Sales took a jump up for the same month. Clearly, we have a more confident (or, anxious --> Active) pool of home buyers in the current season.

Almost equally as Clear, is that the local real estate market needs more listings Available to sell! Vancouver's market is slightly different than in Portland, where there are an abundance of listings in the "New Home" category that don't truly exist yet; but rather, are "Proposed" listings (i.e., marketing bait). In accounting for this element that is not immediately available for sale and occupancy, combined with the Short Sale Pending listings, when these two categories are removed the number of True Available Listings are 69.9% of the number indicated in the above Chart!!!

Please view our more comprehensive video report please visit: Vancouver WA Real Estate Market Report for December 2014.

To help cure the shortage of Available Home Listings we need more home sellers to step up and put their homes on the market.  As Vancouver WA Real Estate Listing Agents we're only too glad to help!!! Check us out, then give us a call!


Wednesday, January 21, 2015

2014 Real Estate Market Shows Gains for Vancouver WA

Real Estate in Vancouver WA for 2014 Came Through With Strong Results!

The Year 2014 Closed out even stronger than the Year before, with Less of a seasonal slowdown in the 4th Quarter. Here are this year's highlights:

  • Approximately 3,989 Resale Homes were sold in 2014, which is about 158 (4.12%) more homes than had sold in 2013.
     
  • The Price Trend Lines show the 3-Month Moving Average with its typical Seasonal Peak in July at $256k, and the 12-Month Moving Average peaking at the end of the year.
     
  • Average Home Sale-Prices Were Up strongly, with the 3-Month Moving Average up 13.65% over the prior year; and the 12-Month Moving Average went up 10.34% from the year prior.
     
  • Short Sale /Pre-Foreclosure property sales were 303 units (7.6% of total); also trending downward.
  • REO/Bank Owned property sales were 426 units (10.7% of total); and trending downward through the year. 
     

The video below, John Slocuum, Realtor® talks about the 2014 Vancouver real estate market's highlights:

Vancouver WA Real Estate Video Report Annual 2014

Now for our Real Estate Market Analysis Charts!  The first chart displays the quantity of Resale Homes Sold (Excludes New Construction).  We are using the simple technique of statistical smoothing to show a short term trend line equaling the 3-month Moving Average; and the longer term trend line equaling the 12-month Moving Average. 

Vancouver Washington Home Sales March 2014 - Units Sold Vancouver WA Resale Home Sales - Units Sold Trend Annual 2014

With Vancouver clearly the largest reporting area in Vancouver WA, the Clark County overall trend line will look quite a bit like this one. 

Next up is the display for the action on Home Prices in 2014.

Vancouver WA Home Sales Annual 2014 - Average Sales Price Trends Vancouver WA Resale Home Sales - Average Sales Price Trend

THE BIG reason for Vancouver's increase in average sales price is the relatively very low inventory (home supply) condition we've seen through the year, ending at less than 3 months supply for Resale Homes!   

The final chats below show the month-by-month action for Unit Sales, Average & Median Prices; and Days on Market:

Charts of Vancouver WA Home Sales Trends in Annual 2014 Vancouver Home Sales Inventory & Days on Market Trends


In our opinion it appears that 2015 should continue the same positive trends, at least in the near term
 


PS - Please visit the Home Search page for Vancouver WA on our website, where it is Easy to search by Neighborhood or by Category, with property and real estate listings from the entire RMLS.  Sign-up Not Required!

PPS -2015 will be a big year for the Vancouver real estate market.  Don't delay with your Home Selling or Buying Plans - Call Us Soon!



The charts in this report (prepared by John Slocum Realtor®, our resident statistician) are based on home sales posted in the Vancouver MLS system (RMLS), excluding sales of mobile home; and shows the purchase activity since 2009; charting the 3 month Moving average number of sales, and the 12 month Moving average.  This "smoothing" of the trend-data helps illustrate the short-term and longer term trends in Vancouver WA's real estate market.

Disclaimer: as with any real estate statistics, we do our best to provide the best representation at the time the data was acquired.  We deem the data and reports reliable but not guaranteed.